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#21
Just looking at the last 10 league games.

St Mirren have taken 10 points. 3 wins and 1 draw.
Motherwell have taken 8 points. 2 wins and 2 draws.
We have taken 4 points. 0 wins and 4 draws.
 
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#22
Yep, a major turnaround is required if we are to survive - just feel we have left ourselves with a mountain to climb - there is a gap opening up which we need to close, but the games aren't getting any easier!
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#23
Finishing points totals for teams in 10th position over previous 14 seasons.

If the 10th placed team finishes on or below 32 points then this will be the lowest points total a team has required since turn of the century to finish 10th.

13/14 - 38
12/13 - 44
11/12 - 39
10/11 - 37
09/10 - 34
08/09 - 38
07/08 - 41
06/07 - 38
05/06 - 33
04/05 - 35
03/04 - 42
02/03 - 35
01/02 - 41
00/01 - 40



To get to 33 points from remaining games.

Kilmarnock would require 5 points
Partick would require 8 points
St Mirren would require 15 points
Motherwell would require 15 points
Ross County would require 21 points

Looks like 33 points or more will be required to be safe in 10th position.
 
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#24
(02-03-2015, 09:51 AM)Stag10 Wrote: Finishing points totals for teams in 10th position over previous 14 seasons.

If the 10th placed team finishes on or below 32 points then this will be the lowest points total a team has required since turn of the century to finish 10th.

13/14 - 38
12/13 - 44
11/12 - 39
10/11 - 37
09/10 - 34
08/09 - 38
07/08 - 41
06/07 - 38
05/06 - 33
04/05 - 35
03/04 - 42
02/03 - 35
01/02 - 41
00/01 - 40



To get to 33 points from remaining games.

Kilmarnock would require 5 points
Partick would require 8 points
St Mirren would require 15 points
Motherwell would require 15 points
Ross County would require 21 points

Looks like 33 points or more will be required to be safe in 10th position.

I don't think we have any chance of getting 21 points from the last 13 games.

On the other hand, I'm not convinced both St Mirren and Motherwill will reach 33 points either.

It's going to be a massive struggle to stay up now. Personally I think we've left ourselves with too much to do, but we can't give up.
 
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#25
(02-03-2015, 02:09 PM)JailendLoyal Wrote: [b]I don't think we have any chance of getting 21 points from the last 13 games.

On the other hand, I'm not convinced both St Mirren and Motherwill will reach 33 points either.

It's going to be a massive struggle to stay up now. Personally I think we've left ourselves with too much to do, but we can't give up.

I think we've still got 15 games, (10 to the split and 5 thereafter), and it will certainly be a struggle, but it's still not beyond us. If we can get a couple of early wins and make the most of our game(s) in hand, you just never know..

I'd already estimated around 20 points to put us in with a shout of at least a play-off, (5 wins, 5 draws, 5 defeats..)..

Huh
 
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#26
Yeah, when you look at it like that - you can see the task ahead is massive - having said that, I don't see Motherwell or St Mirren doing it either - so as long as we can close the gap on them there is always the chance we can leapfrog one of them - but even in a play-off against the new Newcastle, it'll be extremely tough for us to avoid the drop.....reality starting to kick in I'm afraid.

:O(
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#27
After the Aberdeen game, we have Motherwell (H), Patrick (A), Dundee (H), Hamilton (A), Kilmarnock (H), Dundee Utd (A) St Johnstone (H) and St Mirren (A) all before the split.

Some real winnable games there, especially at home. Home to Motherwell, Dundee and Patrick needs to be minimum 2 wins.

Away games to Hamilton (totally crumbled since losing Neil) and St Mirren are both massive opportunities to get points.

Games away to Aberdeen and Dundee Utd, like ICT last week, are games realistically we should be happy with a point in.

We still have to play St Mirren and Motherwell twice each. 4 games that will be absolutely crucial.

There's no doubt we need to start winning games, but it's still very much in our hands.
 
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#28
Let's hope that the new guys hit the ground running and start bringing us the points we need - JM has come out and said we are stronger due to the new signings - so he must be confident that we have all the positions covered now with better quality players!

Interesting to see the starting lineup against Aberdeen on Saturday!
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#29
(02-04-2015, 02:35 PM)staggie2509 Wrote: Let's hope that the new guys hit the ground running and start bringing us the points we need - JM has come out and said we are stronger due to the new signings - so he must be confident that we have all the positions covered now with better quality players!

Interesting to see the starting lineup against Aberdeen on Saturday!

If he told me the time I'd have to get it verified
 
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#30
(02-03-2015, 09:51 AM)Stag10 Wrote: Finishing points totals for teams in 10th position over previous 14 seasons.

If the 10th placed team finishes on or below 32 points then this will be the lowest points total a team has required since turn of the century to finish 10th.

13/14 - 38
12/13 - 44
11/12 - 39
10/11 - 37
09/10 - 34
08/09 - 38
07/08 - 41
06/07 - 38
05/06 - 33
04/05 - 35
03/04 - 42
02/03 - 35
01/02 - 41
00/01 - 40



To get to 33 points from remaining games.

Kilmarnock would require 5 points
Partick would require 8 points
St Mirren would require 15 points
Motherwell would require 15 points
Ross County would require 21 points

Looks like 33 points or more will be required to be safe in 10th position.

I'd be delighted to finish in tenth position but think we'll need more than 33 points. I genuinely believe we are four wins from safety... Let's hope it's 3 after Saturday.
 
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#31
I'm confident we'll get 10+ points between now and the end of the season.
 
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